Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 4.432442 5.115124 5.867502 6.758193 7.783966 8.928490 10.302824
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.389037 4.252438 5.285050 6.611105 8.269546 10.276438 12.891902
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.815202 3.800477 5.066069 6.811103 9.156581 12.203338 16.468518
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.285209 3.293995 4.675372 6.705414 9.615899 13.644354 19.657277
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.041559 3.122692 4.691335 7.133527 10.845540 16.287063 24.894534
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.810266 2.923139 4.625443 7.419201 11.898262 18.817589 30.358618
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.571246 2.667051 4.426799 7.458541 12.563873 20.840574 35.336443
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.302424 2.315613 4.017813 7.085652 12.492756 21.660078 38.460304
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.196293 2.220934 4.016423 7.391482 13.598609 24.571180 45.548700
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.136838 2.198097 4.132794 7.916225 15.158142 28.472142 54.958202
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.039679 2.088997 4.074813 8.106190 16.119880 31.409310 62.990155
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.944573 1.968449 3.976148 8.199317 16.900951 34.097737 70.909080
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.818450 1.770394 3.705953 7.927796 16.951356 35.436917 76.476179
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.704952 1.580750 3.424880 7.590661 16.814894 36.378321 81.365998
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.647117 1.502364 3.365073 7.717559 17.689941 39.560029 91.590174
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.572462 1.374449 3.179121 7.536170 17.854018 41.225795 98.685506
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.550860 1.366160 3.259486 7.977132 19.510421 46.463609 114.862495
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.520799 1.332784 3.276773 8.270937 20.862475 51.191154 130.554503
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.477828 1.260607 3.190882 8.298957 21.568473 54.479937 143.203352
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.415640 1.129461 2.940972 7.874831 21.069546 54.739949 148.172937
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.398238 1.113650 2.980427 8.208749 22.590174 60.314643 167.973445
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.392777 1.129421 3.104298 8.787543 24.853985 68.142890 195.094309
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.371209 1.096814 3.094080 8.995926 26.131556 73.523215 216.249713